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Characterizing forest fire activity in Turkey by compound Poisson and time series models

Araştırma sonucu: Kitap/Rapor/Konferans Bildirisinde BölümKonferans katkısıbilirkişi

1 Alıntı (Scopus)

Özet

Large forest fires are major disturbances that strongly influence the carbon cycling and vegetation dynamics of Turkish ecosystems. We suggest that compound Poisson model could provide suitable description for the total annual area burned by forest fires and for fire size distribution in Turkey. This paper also provides a time series model that reveals trends in annual number of fires and area burned in Turkey. We support this argument using forest fires occurred in Turkey between 1937 and 2009. We also find that the Poisson model simulates large fire occurrences well and the total burned area is modeled by a compound Poisson process.

Orijinal dilİngilizce
Ana bilgisayar yayını başlığı11th International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics 2013, ICNAAM 2013
Sayfalar1442-1445
Sayfa sayısı4
DOI'lar
Yayın durumuYayınlandı - 2013
Etkinlik11th International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics 2013, ICNAAM 2013 - Rhodes, !!Greece
Süre: 21 Eyl 201327 Eyl 2013

Yayın serisi

AdıAIP Conference Proceedings
Hacim1558
ISSN (Basılı)0094-243X
ISSN (Elektronik)1551-7616

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???event.eventtypes.event.conference???11th International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics 2013, ICNAAM 2013
Ülke/Bölge!!Greece
ŞehirRhodes
Periyot21/09/1327/09/13

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