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Characterizing forest fire activity in Turkey by compound Poisson and time series models

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

Large forest fires are major disturbances that strongly influence the carbon cycling and vegetation dynamics of Turkish ecosystems. We suggest that compound Poisson model could provide suitable description for the total annual area burned by forest fires and for fire size distribution in Turkey. This paper also provides a time series model that reveals trends in annual number of fires and area burned in Turkey. We support this argument using forest fires occurred in Turkey between 1937 and 2009. We also find that the Poisson model simulates large fire occurrences well and the total burned area is modeled by a compound Poisson process.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication11th International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics 2013, ICNAAM 2013
Pages1442-1445
Number of pages4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2013
Event11th International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics 2013, ICNAAM 2013 - Rhodes, Greece
Duration: 21 Sept 201327 Sept 2013

Publication series

NameAIP Conference Proceedings
Volume1558
ISSN (Print)0094-243X
ISSN (Electronic)1551-7616

Conference

Conference11th International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics 2013, ICNAAM 2013
Country/TerritoryGreece
CityRhodes
Period21/09/1327/09/13

Keywords

  • area burned
  • compound Poisson process
  • forest fires
  • time series analysis

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